Founders obsess over revenue and profit. Buyers price a fuller picture. Here are the four numbers that move the multiple, and the mistake that quietly repriced a firm mid-diligence.
A buyer of a data or AI services firm pays for four things: your growth rate, flagship customers that are new logos to them, profitable revenue measured as EBITDA and its growth rate, and a wildcard differentiator, whether that's real innovation, an offshore capability in a specific region, or a product or managed service they get to sell. Revenue by itself is the number founders overweight and buyers discount. The price lives in the whole picture, and it holds only if you keep running the business hard while the deal is in the room.
When 3Cloud sold to Cognizant at a 15x EBITDA multiple, two of the four did most of the work: the growth rate, and the near-total ownership of the Microsoft ecosystem in North America. That second one was the wildcard, a position a buyer couldn't replicate by writing a check anywhere else. Founders tend to fixate on revenue and profitability, both of which matter, and the deal was won on the total picture, with the differentiator doing the heavy lifting.
The fastest way to lose millions is to let the business drift while the deal runs. I watched one firm get repriced because a major customer shrank its renewals during the diligence process, and the price moved against them by millions. Keep taking care of your customers and keep the business at full strength through the whole process. A soft quarter in the room is expensive in a way a soft quarter anywhere else never is.
Start by understanding how the business performs today, with the right KPIs and a fast, honest read of them. Then put the operating system in place where you're talking to the right people about the right things, and every one of those critical numbers has a single person accountable for it to the CEO. Pair that with a CFO who can restructure the books to reflect what a buyer will actually look at, and you're running the business toward the price, every quarter, long before anyone's in the room.
A buyer pays for four things: growth rate, flagship customers that are new logos to them, profitable revenue measured as EBITDA and EBITDA growth, and a wildcard differentiator such as real innovation, an offshore capability in a specific region, or a product or managed service they get to sell. Revenue alone is the number founders overweight and buyers discount.
Letting the business drift during the process. One firm got repriced because a major customer shrank its renewals mid-diligence, and it cost them millions. The lesson is to keep taking care of customers and running the business at full strength while diligence runs, because a soft quarter in the room moves the price.
Understand how the business performs today with the right KPIs, then put an operating system in place where every critical number has one owner accountable to the CEO. Add a CFO who can present the books the way a buyer will read them. Clean numbers with clear ownership are what hold the price in the room.
Four numbers, one owner each. The conversation shows you where yours stand today.